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Conversation: 851-004

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Start Date: 6-Feb-1973 5:11 PM

End Date: 6-Feb-1973 6:10 PM

Participants:

Nixon, Richard M. (President)Burns, Arthur F.Shultz, George P.Bull, Stephen B.

Recording Device: Oval Office

851-004a.mp3

851-004b.mp3

NARA Description:

On February 6, 1973, President Richard M. Nixon, Arthur F. Burns, George P. Shultz, and Stephen B. Bull met in the Oval Office of the White House from 5:11 pm to 6:10 pm. The Oval Office taping system captured this recording, which is known as Conversation 851-004 of the White House Tapes.

Nixon Library Finding Aid:

Conversation No. 851-4

Date: February 6, 1973
Time: 5:11 pm-6:10 pm
Location: Oval Office

The President met with Arthur F. Burns and George P. Shultz.

       Greetings

       Trade policy
              -President’s meeting with Edward R. G. Heath
              -Heath
                     -Negotiations with Europe
                             -Cooperation
                                     -Agriculture products
                                     -Monetary situation
                     -European attitudes
                             -Negative
                             -Heath’s role
                     -Shultz
                     -Role
                             -Change European attitudes
                                     -Perfectionism
                     -Reaction to US position
                             -Sympathy
                     -Anthony P. L. Barber
                     -Support in Parliament
                     -Sir Douglas Allen
                             -International monetary situation
                                                -9-

                   NIXON PRESIDENTIAL LIBRARY AND MUSEUM

                                      Tape Subject Log
                                       (rev. Mar.-09)
                                                            Conversation No. 851-4 (cont’d)




       Prime interest rates
              -Discount rate
              -Banks
              -Testimony to Congress
                      -Questions on Phase III

       Senate Banking Committee testimony
              -Burns
                      -Attention
              -Questions
              -William McChesney Martin, Jr.
                      -Phase III
                      -Inflation
              -Wilbur D. Mills
              -Compared to previous testimony
              -Burns's statement
                      -Phase III
                              -Support
              -Questions
                      -Responses
              -Support in government
                      -Violations
              -       -Support from President
              -John T. Dunlop’s swearing-in
              -Interest rates
                      -Questions
                      -Burns’s statement
              -Shultz’s testimony
                      -William Proxmire
                              -Committee seats

Stephen B. Bull entered at an unknown time after 5:11 pm.

       Message to Ronald L. Ziegler
             -Burns's testimony
                                               -10-

                   NIXON PRESIDENTIAL LIBRARY AND MUSEUM

                                      Tape Subject Log
                                       (rev. Mar.-09)
                                                         Conversation No. 851-4 (cont’d)




Bull left at an unknown time before 6:11 pm.

       Interest rates
               -Rise
               -Money supply
                      -End of fast growth
               -Nervousness
               -Martin
                      -Policies
               -Burns’s goals
                      -Avoidance of recession
                      -Tightening money supply
                              -Impact
                              -Complaints
                              -Duration
                              -Start date
                              -Treasury Department [?]
                      -Money supply
                              -Growth
                                      -Control
                      -Sustained prosperity
                              -Elections

       Burns’s possible trip to Japan
              -Foreign Exchange problem
              -Shultz
                      -Plans
                      -Discussions
                              -Kakeui Tanaka
                              -Tadashi Sasaki [?]
                                      -Central Bank
              -Timing
              -Henry A. Kissinger
                      -Meeting with Tanaka
                              -Timing
                                              -11-

                   NIXON PRESIDENTIAL LIBRARY AND MUSEUM

                                      Tape Subject Log
                                       (rev. Mar.-09)
                                                                Conversation No. 851-4 (cont’d)




       Foreign Exchange crisis
              -Outflow of dollars
                      -Germany
                      -Acceleration
              -Administration’s actions
                      -Meetings of economic advisors
                              -Burns’s involvement
                              -Herbert Stein, Paul A. Volcker, Shultz, William P. Rogers,
William J. Casey, Peter M. Flanigan
                              -Agreement on problems
                                      -“Speculative fury”
              -Trade deficit
                      -Size
                      -Balance of payments
                      -Corrective measures
                      -Smithsonian agreement
                              -Effect
                              -Offsets
                              -Deterioration
                                      -Great Britain’s exchange rate
                      -Solutions
                              -Devaluation
                                      -Percentage
                              -Revaluation by Japan
                                      -Percentage
                              -Europe
                              -Persuasion
                              -Efficacy of measures
                                      -Compared to changing exchange rates
                      -Trade legislation
                              -President’s authority to negotiate
                              -Expansion of world trade
                              -Provisions
                                      -Protection of businesses
                                      -Balance of payments surcharge
                                     -12-

           NIXON PRESIDENTIAL LIBRARY AND MUSEUM

                              Tape Subject Log
                               (rev. Mar.-09)
                                                        Conversation No. 851-4 (cont’d)



                             -Impact on Japan
       -Trade package
       -Consultation with Congress, Labor, Business
               -Announcement
       -Gold market
               -Impact of moves by the administration
                       -Volcker
               -US actions on price of gold
               -Private market
               -International agreements
                       -Private market position
                               -Publicity
                       -Increase in price
               -Private sales of gold
                       -Republican platform
                       -Serbian community [?] in US
       -Capital control program
               -President’s promise
               -Equilibrium
               -Domestic programs
                       -Phase out
       -Consistency of international monetary plans
               -Deficits
               -Surpluses
                       -Japan
       -Crisis
               -Recurrence
       -Japan
               -Agreement on revaluation
               -Legislation
                       -Surcharge
               -Appeal to Europe
                       -Timing
                       -Leaks

Congressional leaders
                                     -13-

           NIXON PRESIDENTIAL LIBRARY AND MUSEUM

                              Tape Subject Log
                               (rev. Mar.-09)
                                                       Conversation No. 851-4 (cont’d)



       -Leaders’ schedules
       -Shultz’s statement
       -President’s decision
       -Negotiations with trade partners
       -Trade legislation
              -Exchange rate realignment
              -Gold

Wage and price controls
      -Burns’s view
             -Phasing out
             -Gold purchases by private citizens
                     -Imports
                            -Effect on balance of payments

International monetary situation
        -Gold
               -Central banks
                      -Powers
               -Devaluation
                      -Percentage
                      -Japan
                      -Dollar value
                              -Exchange rate
                              -Floating dollar
                              -Smithsonian Agreement
                              -Trade
                              -Great Britain
        -Exchange rates
               -Changes
                      -“Economic belligerency”
               -Devaluation
                      -Percentage
                      -Public perception
                              -Understanding
                      -US position in world markets
                                      -14-

            NIXON PRESIDENTIAL LIBRARY AND MUSEUM

                               Tape Subject Log
                                (rev. Mar.-09)
                                                        Conversation No. 851-4 (cont’d)



       -Trade package
              -Protectionism
                      -Dangers
              -Encouragement to foreign nations
       -President’s speech at International Monetary Fund [IMF]

Inflation
        -International trade
                -US position
        -Price stability in US
        -Announcement
        -Determination to curb
        -Congress
        -Large films, unions
                -Changes in wages and prices
                        -Announcement
        -Congress
                -Laws on reporting wage and price changes
                        -Testimony
                        -Paperwork
        -Business overdependence on government

International monetary situation
        -Speech
        -Criticism
                -Repetition of plans
        -Trade
                -Authority to negotiate
                       -Imports
                       -Compared to surcharges
                               -Removal
                               -Rate change
                               -Agreements
        -Recurrent crises
        -Administration’s actions on balance of trade, payments
        -Trade
                                      -15-

            NIXON PRESIDENTIAL LIBRARY AND MUSEUM

                               Tape Subject Log
                                (rev. Mar.-09)
                                                       Conversation No. 851-4 (cont’d)



              -Burns’s view
       -Monetary reform
              -Pace
                     -Crisis
              -William D. Eberle
       -Defense
              -Summit talks
                     -Preparation
                     -Negotiations
                     -Japan, Italy, France, Germany, Great Britain, US
                     -Big Four
       -Smithsonian Conference
              -Meeting with Georges J. R. Pompidou
                     -Accomplishments
       -US position
              -Global security

Devaluation
      -Percentage
      -Japan
      -Legislation on surcharge
             -Safeguards on flooding
      -Congressional relations
             -Consulting
             -Trade
      -Handling
             -Dealings with Japan
                     -Ambassadors
                     -Volcker
                     -Finance minister
                     -Tanaka
                     -Draft letter to Tanaka
             -Great Britain, Germany
             -Timing
                     -Delay
             -Politics
                                             -16-

                   NIXON PRESIDENTIAL LIBRARY AND MUSEUM

                                      Tape Subject Log
                                       (rev. Mar.-09)
                                                               Conversation No. 851-4 (cont’d)



                              -France
                              -Great Britain
                              -Japan
              -President’s statement
                     -California
                     -Kissinger
                     -Preparation
                     -Timing
                     -Monetary move
                              -Trade
                                     -Recklessness
                                     -Crisis
                                     -Timing
                              -US advantages
                     -Trade
                              -George Meany
                                     -Telephone call to Shultz
                              -Congressional relations
                                     -Discussions
                                     -Mills
                                             -Meetings with President
                                             -Tax problems

       President’s schedule
              -Meeting with Mills
                      -Shultz’s testimony
                      -Tax policy meeting

Bull entered at an unknown time after 5:11 pm.

              -Tax policy meeting with Shultz, Ehrlichman
                     -Mills’s meeting
                             -Shultz
                             -Length
                             -Time
                     -Swearing-in ceremony for John T. Dunlop
                                                 -17-

                    NIXON PRESIDENTIAL LIBRARY AND MUSEUM

                                           Tape Subject Log
                                            (rev. Mar.-09)
                                                               Conversation No. 851-4 (cont’d)



                         -Time
                             -Mills
                             -Length of meeting
                      -Ehrlichman
               -National Security Council [NSC] reading material
                      -[Hussein, King of Jordan] Hussein ibn Talal

Bull left at an unknown time before 6:03 pm.

       Burns
               -Monetary problems
               -Health
                       -Weight
               -State dinner invitations
                       -Health

Burns left at 6:03 pm.

       Railroad subsidy
              -Union trustees
              -Amount
              -Administration’s support
                      -Interstate Commerce Commission [ICC]
                      -Legislation
                      -Federal railway administrator
                      -Impact on trustees
                      -Waste
                      -Union
                              -Bailout
              -Threat of bankruptcy
                      -Judge’s decision on sale of property
                              -Operating at a loss
                              -ICC
              -Strike
                      -Impact
                              -Resources
                                                  -18-

                    NIXON PRESIDENTIAL LIBRARY AND MUSEUM

                                          Tape Subject Log
                                           (rev. Mar.-09)
                                                             Conversation No. 851-4 (cont’d)



                                 -Railroad
               -Debts
               -ICC
                          -Deregulation legislation

       President’s meeting with Mills
              -Ehrlichman
              -Trade
              -Health legislation
              -Taxes
                     -Hearings
                     -Administration’s tax plan
                             -Meeting with Shultz and Ehrlichman
                             -Russell B. Long

       Shultz’s testimony

Shultz left at 6:10 pm.