Nixon White House Tapes — Conversation 820-016 Date: Tuesday, December 12, 1972 at 1:30 PM Participants: Nixon, Richard M. (President); Butterfield, Alexander P.; White House operator; Bull, Stephen B.; Haig, Alexander M., Jr. Recording device: Oval Office Source: https://www.easynixon.org/tapes/820-016 This transcript was generated automatically by AI (WhisperX) and has not been reviewed for accuracy. Do not cite it as authoritative. [0:22] I don't know [0:54] You have a reception tomorrow, you know, 6.30 at the games. [0:56] Do you want to sit out around before that? [1:06] Speaker Albert, please. [1:07] Speaker Albert. [1:12] Thank you. [2:01] Well, he can't. [2:02] See, the reason he can't extend that is because he's got a lot of others he's got to extend to, too, I guess. [2:10] Oh, yeah, we had a different one. [2:12] Yeah, I understand. [2:13] I went over that list with him. [2:16] Who the hell was he having? [2:17] I mean, he shouldn't have any sisters, either. [2:18] He insists on having none, so. [2:20] Well, I don't think he would have any of them. [2:22] That's best. [2:23] No, but if he had, if he had four, couldn't his aunt be suspicious of him? [2:29] So you don't have one? [2:30] I said if you have four, which you have now, Timon's absence is conspicuous, so... What is the injustice of the president? [2:36] Timon's justice. [2:38] He's... Who are we having? [2:40] Which four are we having? [2:42] Flannigan, Timmons, Baldwin, Irwin, and Chester. [2:47] Those are... Oh, wait. [2:47] Have you invited them yet? [2:48] No, they haven't invited them. [2:50] Nobody's been invited. [2:54] The cabinet member is finding a way to keep him off. [2:59] Three. [3:00] If you do that, come on. [3:03] I think you can have the floor. [3:09] I can fight with the planning. [3:12] We've got the problem. [3:16] It's either got to be three or I'm afraid he's got to add . [3:29] 10 minutes to the damn thing. [3:31] And I don't know what the hell he does with his arm. [3:34] Right? [3:35] That's the problem, David. [3:36] Jacob's really in another category. [3:39] That's right. [3:41] I'll take it. [3:42] But you see what I mean? [3:43] I frankly think he should have the three. [3:45] I don't think he should have planning. [3:47] I just think he's got to be right about it. [3:49] Because if you get planning, then I think you're down to the 10 minutes problem. [3:53] You can do that each of you. [3:55] I'll take it. [3:57] But I don't see if he's invited and then let me know, huh? [4:00] Yes, I will. [4:03] Okay. [4:05] Well, that's interesting. [4:06] He's got a lot of money. [4:09] Yeah, that's a good selling. [4:12] That's a good group, yes. [4:20] oh, I don't know what's happening in Vietnam. [4:24] You know, you tell them the truth and they don't believe it. [4:27] No, I had told them almost precisely what you told them. [4:31] They asked me that in the cabinet room. [4:35] So Breeden called and stated that he had had a report from Hanoi. [4:42] Hanoi claims that it's Kissinger who has been trained. [4:47] And that there were many issues unresolved. [4:51] And Schissinger had told them that there was so much to be done that it may run until the end of December if we don't get moving. [5:02] This seemed to bother the hell out of them. [5:05] Out of whom? [5:06] Out of the North Vietnamese, because the Bremen made a special point of it. [5:12] He said, of course, I'm going to take them out of context. [5:14] He said, I don't know how that could be. [5:17] Well, it bothered them. [5:18] that Henry gave them the impression that we didn't give a damn whether it took between now and the end of December or what to get this thing finished. [5:27] So I got the impression that they feel a time constraint. [5:34] We're not going to wait until the end of Christmas. [5:39] No, well, no, we can't do that. [5:43] And if the talks break off or recess, I think... [5:48] We've got to pick it up. [5:49] We've got to really put the heat on them. [5:53] He also said that they not only disagreed on the DMZ, they disagreed on the political prisoners that Henry had given them an assurance, which he was now not giving them. [6:05] That's pure baloney. [6:06] That's not true. [6:07] No, it's not true. [6:08] And I went through this with the brain. [6:10] I said, look, very frankly, because I sat in there, I know what their tactics have been. [6:16] They no sooner get a concession from us on an old issue like HC or our civilians, they pocket our concession and then reopen the issue again to get another one. [6:27] I said, on Saturday, we were on the verge of settlement with only the issue that I told you, and that was reiterated categorically by Legatco. [6:39] And I said, quite simply, now they have this kind of an important and indicative of [6:47] very fundamental misstatements of how this thing is developing. [6:54] He said, well, we are using our good office. [6:56] He said, Mr. President, I've been very, very anxious to get this thing settled. [7:00] And he said he was especially impressed that the President called me personally about it. [7:06] And he does intend to follow up. [7:09] He has already exerted pressure. [7:12] And he would hope that we would keep him [7:17] specifically aggressive. [7:19] So I've sent a message to Henry telling him to keep talking, give us something finite to give the Soviets, which would look responsive to Sabrina's request, and constructive from our point of view. [7:39] I gather these things must have unraveled in Monday's session, and Henry was so upset about it that he didn't [7:47] He wasn't very specific about the issue, just the atmosphere and the overall attitude. [7:55] At least they're working on it. [8:01] They're always going to be that way. [8:24] together in the moment. [8:25] We've got to keep that crowd in there as long as we possibly can. [8:28] It's our own salvation. [8:30] Joe and I made a remarkable statement yesterday in front of a group of press people in Peking. [8:39] He said he expects a ceasefire in two or three days. [8:44] And then he added, he said, you know, there's so much concern about a few hundred Americans in the prisons. [8:50] In North Vietnam, he said, [8:53] There should be more concern about the thousands, tens of thousands of South Vietnamese prisoners in South Vietnam. [9:03] But that was a fairly optimistic thing for him to say. [9:07] I think they're playing it tough and that they're suddenly going to give. [9:11] They don't suddenly give to the Henry Old Desert period. [9:15] They play it tough and they suddenly give. [9:19] Well, I think they do in the context of we know each other's traditions. [9:24] Did they get it, for example, in Shanghai? [9:27] Did they give it a salt? [9:29] I guess they did. [9:30] Oh, I think they did, yes. [9:33] They played it right tough. [9:34] Played it tough, and then, well, by give, I mean, I agree to collapse, and if I collapse, they'll agree to compromise, instead of being totally intransigent. [10:09] Well, as far as I'm concerned, two of his, I don't want to cut off our face, but he has really destroyed his usefulness. [10:19] Amen. [10:21] Frankly, it's credibility as far as arguing on an equal basis with an ally. [10:29] You cannot bring this idea of a thing to an ally and kick it around and push it around and knock it around. [10:38] This way we cannot allow that the American people will let go of one thing. [10:44] There can be no moral or [10:48] Any other consideration with respect to this guy from now on? [10:50] We've got to play this on pure self-interest, totally. [10:54] Well, the whole point is that his interests are different from ours. [10:58] That's right. [10:58] His interests are a total, unconditional surrender to the enemy. [11:03] Ours are an honorable withdrawal, giving them an opportunity over a period of time to win bullets. [11:11] Well, if there's anything short of that, it's not from a handgun. [11:15] the seeds of stability. [11:16] It's going to have the seeds of more conflict. [11:19] If he insists on total surrender, he's not going to get it. [11:22] He hadn't earned it. [11:24] He hadn't won it on the battlefield. [11:29] Well, he could win, maybe, if we continue to bomb the shit out of them forever. [11:33] For three, four years, you mean they would continue the way they're fighting now? [11:36] No. [11:37] The Russians will send in more help. [11:39] The Chinese will. [11:40] You don't have to. [11:41] Russia and China cannot allow North Vietnam to lose. [11:45] We cannot allow South Vietnam to lose. [11:47] That's where this war is in the present time. [11:49] Isn't that brilliant? [11:50] That's exactly right. [11:51] And under those circumstances, so you make peace. [11:55] It's as cold as that. [11:57] where you change the character of it so that we can disengage the larger power interests the way they've been for so long. [12:07] I must say this, though, that I think we are withdrawing the idea of my meeting, my call. [12:15] I mean, I think that's, I'm just not going to, I'm just going to delay it on the basis of, well, I can't now. [12:23] We offered a time. [12:24] He never responded. [12:25] Of course, I'm sorry. [12:27] I can't do that. [12:28] It doesn't mean anything anyway. [12:29] It would be a little crazy not to be midway with my arm around me in the event that he does come in for the rest of the day. [12:37] Well, it doesn't mean anything. [12:39] Or are you greedy? [12:41] No, the only way I would consider it is if it was absolutely essential to bring him back to the board. [12:50] Well, yeah. [12:51] Only that one. [12:53] Yeah. [12:53] But I don't think it will be. [12:54] If he decides to come aboard, it's not going to be based on that issue. [12:59] You are now leaving, though. [13:02] We do get it, you know. [13:04] Sunday. [13:10] Sunday. [13:12] Yes, yes, I know. [13:13] I told you one point. [13:15] I'm not so sure that I... [13:16] I mean, I don't mean... [13:20] I don't think we can keep too much. [13:22] But I also mean that I don't think we have to insist on too much either. [13:26] Let me say, I frankly think at this point, the deal is so goddamn confused and stitched up and screwed up that however it comes out is going to make a lot of difference. [13:36] And we're worried about, well, how can you grieve that? [13:39] How can you grieve that? [13:40] How can you grieve that? [13:41] Did we gain this or that in concession? [13:42] To be perfectly frank with you, they went back to October 8th. [13:46] I accepted it. [13:50] Well, I can go back to that. [13:54] No, I think Henry would do that. [13:59] You know, we discussed this rather cold-bloodedly before I left, and it was that if we can't get this last EMG thing, we're okay. [14:13] They're not even giving us that option because they keep opening up new things. [14:18] And it's just, you know, more of you have been in difficulty with [14:23] ever showing them a willingness to compromise, is a thing. [14:27] The fact is, it's immediately exploited. [14:31] And then the next thing you know, you are in an untenable position. [14:33] I know. [14:36] That's... Well, here you are in the present time, so you're probably going to break off the day and do that, and whatever. [14:43] Yeah, I think so. [14:44] I think today will probably be another frustrating session, but softer than Monday's. [14:51] And we will feel that we've gotten some progress. [14:55] We'll probably say that we've gotten some progress, but it may not be. [14:59] And that he'll want to stay on tomorrow and have another round. [15:07] And then I think there's a good chance he'll settle with tomorrow. [15:13] I'm more optimistic. [15:16] More so than I think you're going to settle. [15:19] You think so? [15:23] Let me tell you, I'm totally relaxed now that I think about the thing now. [15:27] I know it's going to be an all hell of a day. [15:30] The hopes are so high. [15:31] I do care about my wife. [15:36] My wife is here today, Renee. [15:41] Yet there's a real provocation. [15:43] We're going to bomb the hell out of them. [15:45] And that's the thing, they can't get more through his goddamn thick head. [15:48] I mean, he showed me some half-assed little things, but I really do. [15:51] There's one goddamn thing that's new. [15:54] Well, if you've got his communication sent here. [15:55] I said, but you did that before, haven't you? [15:58] He said, we took it out in 68. [16:03] Radio pilot. [16:03] What about the, that's communications. [16:06] Oh. [16:06] Sorry, communications. [16:07] I said, power. [16:09] Well, that, we took it out in 68, you know. [16:11] I said, all right, there's the power plant. [16:14] There's the radio in the shack. [16:16] And then, what else do we do? [16:18] Well, the other thing we do is go back and take out the bridges so that they rebuild. [16:23] And I said, what about the civilian airport? [16:26] Oh, there's much trouble. [16:27] Sorry, Mike. [16:28] He said, well, we could hit one side of it, but they're all military. [16:37] You know, you should be crimping him down. [16:40] You should be having to crimp him down. [16:42] That's not inevitable. [16:44] But my point is, what is the, what the hell is there? [16:47] What can we do? [16:50] That's my point. [16:50] What can we do in terms of stepping up bombing? [16:54] I think the 52s in that area are a tremendous psychological blow and very, very effective. [17:00] What in the hell are they going to do? [17:02] Bill, I mean, just the fact that they're dropping things in the boondocks, are you going to scare people? [17:09] No. [17:09] They've got to take out that. [17:10] They've got to use some smart bombs on the dock facilities and hike bombs. [17:15] Well, if they do, do they use any smart bombs? [17:17] No. [17:18] That will have to be very pinpoint, careful delivery in good weather with the smart bombs. [17:23] That will impress them. [17:25] You've got to take out the power plant in Illinois, which we've never touched. [17:31] I agree to never touch that. [17:33] And the transshipment point, the base rate. [17:35] Yeah, I think you showed me that. [17:37] You showed me that. [17:38] Got to take that out. [17:39] Deliver it to the students. [17:40] That's right. [17:41] That one we can just cling at. [17:43] And there'll be some slop over casualties. [17:45] God damn it. [17:46] So be it. [17:47] So be it. [17:48] That gets their attention. [17:49] That gets their attention. [17:52] We'll have to take out Radio Hanoi because that's a real command and control problem. [17:57] Sure. [18:00] We've got some other targets in the outskirts of Hanoi, rail rebuild shops, maintenance shops. [18:08] We've just got to take them down. [18:10] There'll be some slop over there. [18:11] I just want to be sure that those 72s go every goddamn night. [18:19] That's what they do. [18:21] And they can hit the airfield. [18:23] I think we should go in and take out every airfield. [18:27] I'm the only M5. [18:30] They're five and they're about three. [18:35] Why not just take them all out? [18:37] Like the Israelis took out the Egyptians' airfields. [18:39] Why not? [18:41] Are we afraid because there's some Russian? [18:43] No, it's just not a productive target. [18:47] How the hell is it being productive? [18:50] Just take them out. [18:51] We can take them out. [18:53] As simple as their airfields are. [18:54] I think it would be good to take their military side of that civilian field back. [18:59] Did you take it out? [19:00] That's right. [19:00] And yesterday, where the hell did they go to land? [19:05] Then we got some very good targets up in that buffer zone with China. [19:10] And we got to cut that down. [19:11] I cut it down to five miles. [19:17] I can't see why you think there's any reason for outcasts. [19:23] Well, let's start out with the basic assumption that they're hurt and that they want to settle. [19:32] That I believe. [19:33] Even despite the fact that we have this moment, we still have to hurry. [19:40] The mind has got to hurt some, because... [19:54] I believe that. [19:57] Secondly, I believe that they do know. [20:01] I don't think they read us the same way we read ourselves. [20:04] We know we've got some pressures working on us. [20:07] They can't be sure of those pressures. [20:09] They've misjudged you every time. [20:12] And I think you've had them on edge with respect to what you'll do. [20:15] At the same time, I think they do feel that [20:22] They can work time to their advantage with us, up to a point. [20:26] They get to a point now in January where they've got to commit themselves to a strategy in the South which is conventional and much the same as it's been. [20:37] Not break their units up the way they're doing it, getting ready for a ceasefire, where they become more vulnerable if the war continues. [20:43] If the war continues, they have themselves all configured for a ceasefire. [20:49] They're quite vulnerable to Jews [20:52] counteraction, and it could have ruined that whole structure. [20:58] The very fact that they've moved, they've instructed their canneries, they're going to a ceasefire, and the momentum is all in that direction, I think it's going to be hard for them to pull away from the South. [21:11] I don't take any comfort from what they're telling the people, because the bastards are going to conduct a pretty tough struggle. [21:17] What's Chu doing? [21:19] What's he doing? [21:21] And what's he doing about this? [21:23] Why is he making this kind of speech? [21:25] Because I think he's just, in his Mandarin style, is deathly afraid of entering into a political context. [21:35] So, when we make a deal with him, I think ultimately he'll come around, but he's going to be portrayed as being forced into it. [21:48] So that he can always [21:51] keep the sympathy of the people, and that the tough sequence of events that follow, he can say, well, this is the best I could do. [21:58] I mean, we've got to suffer through it together, rather than to have been accused of being naive and gone into something which I would not have heard. [22:10] And I would say I regret the speech, because I think speeches mean more, Congress has said, much less we will mean others do. [22:20] I think you've got to figure this speech is made for that audience. [22:25] And he was doing it for the record. [22:29] He was received with almost total silence in the house. [22:33] He was. [22:33] He got no applause. [22:35] He got no reaction. [22:38] All right. [22:40] It would be well-being to hear a little comment on his hands, too. [22:46] And there are plenty of guys standing in the wings that have already told us they'd be delighted to accept this settlement. [22:52] Well, there's no need to take your word up, you know. [22:57] We should have it by now. [22:58] It should be very soon. [23:00] There's no attendance to what? [23:02] It's ten minutes to seven. [23:05] What? [23:06] Ten minutes to seven. [23:07] Eight o'clock. [23:09] Eight o'clock. [23:10] The meeting's over. [23:11] It may not be, because he would call me as soon as he got back to the embassy. [23:16] Amen. [23:16] Amen.